GradeMap

Grade 7 · Math · Unit 16 of 16

Probability

Chances of two events

What your child practises

Listing outcomes of two independent events (like a coin and a die), finding theoretical probabilities by multiplying, and comparing them with experimental results.

Alberta Curriculum learning outcome: SP4, SP5, SP6 · probability as ratios, fractions and percents, and two independent events

How we explain it

Children can open this short lesson before they practise.

  1. Probability = favourable outcomes ÷ all possible outcomes.
  2. It is always between 0 (impossible) and 1 (certain).
  3. For two events, list every outcome so none are missed.

Example: You roll a die. What is the probability of an even number? Even numbers: 2, 4, 6. That is 3 outcomes. There are 6 outcomes in all. 3/6 = 1/2. Answer: 1/2

Sample questions

A taste of this unit. In the app, questions change every time and get easier or harder to match your child.

  1. Question 1

    You roll a standard die (1 to 6) and spin a spinner with 5 equal sections. How many different outcomes are possible?

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    30

    Hint: Each of the 6 results of the first event can pair with each of the 5 results of the second: 6 × 5 = 30 outcomes. A tree diagram or table shows them all.

  2. Question 2

    You spin this spinner (5 equal sections) and flip a coin. What is P(orange and tails)?

    • 1/10
    • 2/7
    • 7/10
    • 1/5
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    1/10

    Hint: P(orange) = 1/5 and P(tails) = 1/2. The events are independent, so multiply: 1/5 × 1/2 = 1/10.

  3. Question 3

    Suppose you flip a coin and roll a standard die (1 to 6), and repeat this 60 times. About how many times would you expect to get tails and a 6?

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    5

    Hint: P(tails and a 6) = 1/2 × 1/6 = 1/12. Expected: 1/12 × 60 = 5 times.

  4. Question 4

    Two spinners are each half red and half blue. Maya spun both 20 times, and both landed on red 4 times. What is the experimental probability of "both red" as a percent?

    answer box%

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    20 %

    Hint: Experimental probability = 4/20 = 0.2 = 20%. Compare it with the theoretical probability: 1/2 × 1/2 = 1/4 = 25%.

  5. Question 5

    Two coins were flipped together 60 times. Based on these results, what is the experimental probability of "one head, one tail"? Give a fraction.

    60 flips of two coins
    ResultCount
    Two heads15
    One head, one tail32
    Two tails13

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    8/15

    Hint: Experimental probability = times it happened ÷ total trials = 32/60 = 8/15.

  6. Question 6

    Sam flips a coin 10 times and gets 7 heads. What does this show?

    • Experimental results can differ from the theoretical probability
    • The next flip is more likely to be tails
    • The coin will land heads 70% of the time from now on
    • The theoretical probability of heads is 7/10
    Show answer

    Experimental results can differ from the theoretical probability

    Hint: Theoretical P(heads) is still 1/2. Ten flips is a small experiment, so 7 heads isn't surprising, and the coin has no memory.